Scenario based modeling framework for forecasting COVID-19 infections and deaths

Our SyncroSim software platform now supports real-time forecasts of COVID-19 infections and deaths for jurisdictions of any size, ranging from public health units to countries.

Our approach delivers online daily updates to forecasts based on real-time gathering of online COVID-19 data. The tool also allows policy makers to explore “what-if” scenarios regarding changes to public health measures, forecasting the resulting consequences in advance of on-the-ground changes. The underlying predictive models in our tool are all open, allowing scientists to continually adapt and improve the models as understanding of COVID-19 evolves over time. A demonstration version of our software system, using real-time data for Canada, is available at www.apexrms.com/covid19. You can also view a detailed description of the model and a recent presentation of the framework to the British Columbia COVID-19 modeling group.